Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT +120 UMBC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +19 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UMBC -1.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -0.6 (-18.4) | 148.3 (-9.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -1.2 (-17.8) | 150.8 (-11.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -1.0 (-18.0) | 152.6 (-13.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -0.5 (-18.5) | 150.0 (-11.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UMBC 91 – 52 NJIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UMBC 87 – 74 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UMBC 95 – 91 NJIT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UMBC 87 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 28, 2024 | NJIT 75 – 74 UMBC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#327) | -6.4 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#317) | -1.62 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#330) | -1.72 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#321) | 0.408 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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