Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NJIT +340 UMBC -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +23 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UMBC -4.9 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -6.8 (-16.2) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -6.6 (-16.4) | 144.5 (+6.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -6.5 (-16.5) | 144.3 (+6.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -5.6 (-17.4) | 142.8 (+8.2) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UMBC 91 – 52 NJIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UMBC 87 – 74 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UMBC 95 – 91 NJIT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UMBC 79 – 60 NJIT |
| Jan 28, 2024 | NJIT 75 – 74 UMBC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 5-11 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-9 |
| Away | 1-16 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -14.5 (#353) | -5.5 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#349) | -1.15 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#348) | -1.39 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#360) | 0.437 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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