Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UMBC -225 NJIT +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMBC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +1 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UMBC -6.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -3.8 (-4.8) | 146.1 (+2.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -3.7 (-4.7) | 148.6 (+0.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -3.2 (-4.2) | 149.2 (-0.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -3.9 (-4.9) | 146.3 (+2.7) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UMBC 91 – 52 NJIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UMBC 87 – 74 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UMBC 95 – 91 NJIT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UMBC 87 – 64 NJIT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UMBC 79 – 60 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMBC | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Home | 6-9 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#312) | -11.6 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#347) | -2.28 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#340) | -2.70 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#348) | 0.414 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMBC | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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