Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UMBC -360 NJIT +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMBC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +4 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | UMBC -9.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -8.0 (-4.0) | 151.0 (+35.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -7.7 (-3.7) | 151.8 (+34.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -8.7 (-4.7) | 151.9 (+34.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -7.7 (-3.7) | 150.1 (+35.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UMBC 91 – 52 NJIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UMBC 87 – 74 NJIT |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UMBC 87 – 64 NJIT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UMBC 79 – 60 NJIT |
| Jan 28, 2024 | NJIT 75 – 74 UMBC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMBC | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 3-13 |
| Home | 8-9 | 4-9 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#291) | -14.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#309) | -2.81 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#289) | -3.23 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#296) | 0.359 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMBC | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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