Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -350 PRES +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -12.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -8.5 (-5.5) | 131.9 (-6.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -10.6 (-7.6) | 134.5 (-9.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -10.1 (-7.1) | 134.4 (-9.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -9.3 (-6.3) | 134.5 (-9.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
Game Analysis
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