Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -455 SAM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +23 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -10.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -8.7 (+14.3) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -7.3 (+15.7) | 143.1 (+7.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -8.1 (+14.9) | 143.2 (+7.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -8.6 (+14.4) | 141.0 (+10.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | SAM 97 – 80 WOF |
| Jan 21, 2026 | WOF 88 – 78 SAM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SAM 76 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SAM 77 – 61 WOF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | WOF 91 – 69 SAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#106) | -1.9 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#162) | 0.92 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#150) | 0.67 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#178) | 0.521 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.