Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY +115 BU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BU -2.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -2.1 (+12.1) | 138.8 (-2.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -1.6 (+11.6) | 142.6 (-6.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -2.3 (+12.3) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -2.2 (+12.2) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | BU 85 – 68 ARMY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BU 100 – 91 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 62 BU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BU 71 – 63 ARMY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ARMY 65 – 50 BU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#269) | -0.1 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#235) | -0.06 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#260) | -0.15 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#220) | 0.489 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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