Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | DRKE -900 ILST +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +11 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -12.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -13.7 (-2.7) | 152.6 (+8.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -12.3 (-1.3) | 152.9 (+8.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -12.1 (-1.1) | 153.2 (+7.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.6 (-1.6) | 153.4 (+7.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ILST 86 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ILST 73 – 56 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | DRKE 84 – 77 ILST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 62 ILST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 56 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#77) | -1.4 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#139) | -0.66 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#127) | -0.74 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#146) | 0.459 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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