Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -750 ILST +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -9.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -7.4 (-3.4) | 130.6 (-2.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -10.1 (-6.1) | 123.4 (+4.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -8.5 (-4.5) | 127.1 (+0.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -8.3 (-4.3) | 130.7 (-2.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ILST 86 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ILST 73 – 56 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | DRKE 84 – 77 ILST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 56 ILST |
| Jan 3, 2024 | DRKE 88 – 71 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-1 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#78) | 1.8 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#42) | 0.14 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#48) | 0.25 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#42) | 0.507 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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