Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | DRKE -900 ILST +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +17 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -14.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.5 (+4.5) | 138.4 (+20.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -13.9 (+3.1) | 138.1 (+20.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -12.9 (+4.1) | 137.5 (+21.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -12.3 (+4.7) | 137.2 (+21.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ILST 86 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ILST 73 – 56 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | DRKE 84 – 77 ILST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 62 ILST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 56 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#72) | -3.0 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#48) | -0.08 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#36) | -0.18 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#67) | 0.484 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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