Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE +150 ILST -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +17 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -2.8 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -0.7 (-16.3) | 144.0 (-15.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -1.0 (-16.0) | 142.8 (-13.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -1.6 (-15.4) | 145.1 (-16.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -2.1 (-14.9) | 145.0 (-16.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ILST 86 – 76 DRKE |
| Feb 13, 2025 | DRKE 84 – 77 ILST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 62 ILST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 56 ILST |
| Jan 3, 2024 | DRKE 88 – 71 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#133) | 9.5 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#227) | 1.37 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#180) | 1.65 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#207) | 0.563 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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