Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | ILST +100 DRKE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -2.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+33.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -3.4 (-3.6) | 132.4 (+28.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -3.8 (-3.2) | 127.3 (+33.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -2.4 (-4.6) | 129.1 (+31.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -2.4 (-4.6) | 133.5 (+27.5) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ILST 86 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ILST 73 – 56 DRKE |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 62 ILST |
| Jan 18, 2024 | DRKE 77 – 56 ILST |
| Jan 3, 2024 | DRKE 88 – 71 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 60.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#125) | 7.9 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#127) | 2.67 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#131) | 3.05 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#130) | 0.603 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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