Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | URI -475 JOES +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | URI -7.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.1 (+5.9) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -6.6 (+4.4) | 139.0 (+0.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -5.3 (+5.7) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -5.7 (+5.3) | 140.1 (-1.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | JOES 61 – 55 URI |
| Mar 6, 2025 | JOES 91 – 74 URI |
| Jan 4, 2024 | URI 78 – 74 JOES |
| Feb 2, 2023 | JOES 64 – 50 URI |
| Mar 5, 2022 | JOES 70 – 60 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#81) | 3.0 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#137) | 0.44 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#112) | 0.83 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#82) | 0.521 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.