Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -0.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -1.1 (+8.9) | 132.9 (-2.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -0.5 (+9.5) | 134.5 (-4.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -1.1 (+8.9) | 133.7 (-3.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -0.6 (+9.4) | 134.3 (-4.3) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | JOES 61 – 55 URI |
| Mar 6, 2025 | JOES 91 – 74 URI |
| Jan 4, 2024 | URI 78 – 74 JOES |
| Feb 2, 2023 | JOES 64 – 50 URI |
| Jan 13, 2022 | URI 75 – 64 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#152) | 3.1 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#214) | 0.00 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#192) | 0.26 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#229) | 0.504 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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