Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -21.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -10000 DSU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +29 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -22.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -17.7 (+11.3) | 139.2 (-8.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -17.1 (+11.9) | 136.7 (-5.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -16.7 (+12.3) | 140.2 (-9.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -17.1 (+11.9) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NORF 75 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NORF 66 – 64 DSU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NORF 96 – 84 DSU |
| Jan 6, 2025 | NORF 73 – 64 DSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DSU 85 – 71 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 0-14 |
| Home | 11-0 | 2-11 |
| Away | 7-6 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L25 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#242) | -22.9 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#163) | -4.59 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#168) | -6.49 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#171) | 0.321 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 60.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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