Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BC -135 GT +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -4.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -2.1 (-7.1) | 132.0 (+25.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -2.4 (-7.4) | 134.1 (+22.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -2.5 (-7.5) | 135.3 (+21.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -3.2 (-8.2) | 133.8 (+23.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | GT 65 – 53 BC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BC 69 – 54 GT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GT 85 – 64 BC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BC 95 – 87 GT |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GT 73 – 65 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-10 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#149) | 0.5 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#246) | -0.48 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#207) | -0.30 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#296) | 0.471 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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