Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | UALB +115 UML -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +10 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | UML -2.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -2.0 (+12.0) | 130.4 (-26.4) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -2.6 (+12.6) | 130.4 (-26.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -2.2 (+12.2) | 131.9 (-27.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -2.1 (+12.1) | 131.7 (-27.7) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UML 81 – 76 UALB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UML 89 – 79 UALB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UML 83 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UALB 90 – 88 UML |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UML 73 – 69 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#303) | -2.4 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#318) | -0.42 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#323) | -1.06 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#334) | 0.474 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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