Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +210 SCU -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -10.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -8.1 (-5.9) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -10.2 (-3.8) | 141.0 (+13.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -9.2 (-4.8) | 142.5 (+11.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -9.3 (-4.7) | 142.4 (+11.6) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 10-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 0-13 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#279) | 7.4 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#311) | 1.09 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#301) | 1.61 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#329) | 0.545 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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