Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | TLSA -150 TEM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | TLSA -2.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -0.1 (-5.1) | 134.2 (-1.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -0.6 (-5.6) | 134.5 (-1.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -0.2 (-5.2) | 134.8 (-1.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -0.2 (-5.2) | 134.7 (-1.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TLSA 78 – 76 TEM |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TLSA 75 – 71 TEM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TEM 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TLSA 80 – 74 TEM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TLSA 72 – 67 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#155) | 2.2 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#208) | 1.02 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#181) | 0.89 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#228) | 0.533 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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