Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -170 TCU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +3 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | KSU -2.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -0.6 (-3.6) | 131.1 (-14.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -0.9 (-3.9) | 132.8 (-15.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -0.8 (-3.8) | 134.5 (-17.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -0.9 (-3.9) | 132.3 (-15.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TCU 77 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | TCU 84 – 82 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TCU 63 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TCU 75 – 72 KSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TCU 80 – 67 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#75) | 7.9 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#124) | 2.08 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#104) | 2.29 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#191) | 0.566 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 15.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 41.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 14.0% |
Game Analysis
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