Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | MRSH +140 UNT -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -7.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -6.7 (+2.7) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -8.0 (+4.0) | 136.2 (-2.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -7.2 (+3.2) | 136.2 (-2.2) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -8.3 (+4.3) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2021 | MRSH 73 – 72 UNT |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UNT 77 – 65 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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