Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -150 UNT +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +12 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -2.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -2.9 (-14.9) | 139.2 (+2.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -3.3 (-15.3) | 143.6 (-1.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.7 (-15.7) | 142.8 (-0.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -2.8 (-14.8) | 141.3 (+0.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2022 | UNT 69 – 65 MRSH |
| Feb 27, 2021 | MRSH 73 – 72 UNT |
Game Analysis
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