Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | WIS -170 OSU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -3.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.8 (+5.2) | 141.0 (+5.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -4.4 (+5.6) | 145.1 (+0.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -3.9 (+6.1) | 145.8 (+0.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -3.5 (+6.5) | 143.4 (+2.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OSU 86 – 69 WIS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIS 92 – 82 OSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIS 70 – 68 OSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | WIS 62 – 54 OSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WIS 71 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#31) | 12.0 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.73 (#5) | 2.79 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.48 (#12) | 3.82 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.678 (#4) | 0.670 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 12.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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