Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Over |
| Money | GB -475 IUIN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +15 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | GB -12.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -7.5 (+7.5) | 121.1 (+1.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -9.0 (+6.0) | 125.6 (-2.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -8.6 (+6.4) | 124.1 (-1.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -9.8 (+5.2) | 120.3 (+2.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | GB 75 – 59 IUIN |
| Dec 11, 2025 | GB 85 – 75 IUIN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | IUIN 86 – 77 GB |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IUIN 84 – 75 GB |
| Feb 1, 2024 | GB 79 – 56 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 1-16 |
| Home | 4-9 | 2-11 |
| Away | 1-13 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 51.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#323) | -18.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.65 (#352) | -4.45 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.46 (#350) | -5.83 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#344) | 0.305 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 24.7% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 27.2% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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