Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -170 LEH +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +33 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -5.7 (-38.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -3.7 (-36.7) | 146.5 (+14.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -3.9 (-36.9) | 145.5 (+15.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -3.4 (-36.4) | 144.4 (+16.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -2.9 (-35.9) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LEH 89 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BUCK 72 – 65 LEH |
| Feb 18, 2025 | BUCK 67 – 50 LEH |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LEH 66 – 64 BUCK |
| Feb 13, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#312) | -11.1 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#322) | -2.42 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#318) | -3.61 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#332) | 0.366 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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