Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | CP +240 UCR -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +11 | 103 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -5.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -7.0 (-4.0) | 125.2 (-22.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -5.7 (-5.3) | 126.9 (-23.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -4.3 (-6.7) | 124.9 (-21.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -3.3 (-7.7) | 125.4 (-22.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CP 94 – 87 UCR |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCR 88 – 84 CP |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CP 96 – 83 UCR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CP 112 – 100 UCR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCR 80 – 62 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 9-6 |
| Home | 4-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 64.3 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#305) | 0.8 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#319) | 0.54 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#302) | 0.36 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#330) | 0.521 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 80.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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