Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -340 OKST +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +21 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -9.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -9.7 (+11.3) | 130.3 (+4.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -10.0 (+11.0) | 130.8 (+4.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -8.9 (+12.1) | 131.9 (+3.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -9.9 (+11.1) | 134.1 (+0.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 18-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#16) | 9.1 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#10) | 1.26 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#8) | 1.90 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#65) | 0.577 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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