Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -125 OAK +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -3.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -0.3 (-4.7) | 150.8 (-15.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.6 (-3.4) | 149.5 (-14.5) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -1.5 (-3.5) | 149.7 (-14.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -2.1 (-2.9) | 151.3 (-16.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 12-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#180) | 6.6 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#107) | 2.03 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#115) | 2.56 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#110) | 0.593 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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