Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | LBSU +160 UCSB -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -1.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -1.4 (+8.4) | 147.0 (-24.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -0.8 (+7.8) | 149.9 (-26.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -0.5 (+7.5) | 149.5 (-26.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -1.0 (+8.0) | 148.2 (-25.2) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 8-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#269) | -1.1 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#287) | -1.37 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#265) | -1.54 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#205) | 0.387 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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