Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -1700 COLO +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +21 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -23.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -15.2 (+5.8) | 150.4 (-19.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -16.2 (+4.8) | 155.8 (-24.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -17.1 (+3.9) | 154.0 (-23.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -16.0 (+5.0) | 152.8 (-21.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 12-8 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 23.7 (#1) | 4.6 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#9) | 1.56 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.62 (#7) | 1.84 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#12) | 0.570 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.