Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | LT -4500 USM +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LT -22.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -18.0 (+5.0) | 139.0 (-2.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -20.2 (+2.8) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -19.8 (+3.2) | 139.2 (-2.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -19.2 (+3.8) | 138.1 (-1.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2022 | LT 76 – 62 USM |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LT 65 – 62 USM |
| Jan 29, 2021 | LT 76 – 63 USM |
Game Analysis
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