Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | USM +275 LT -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +13 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -5.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -4.0 (-9.0) | 132.3 (+6.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -3.1 (-9.9) | 131.2 (+7.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -3.6 (-9.4) | 134.0 (+5.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -3.7 (-9.3) | 132.7 (+6.3) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2022 | LT 76 – 62 USM |
| Jan 14, 2022 | LT 80 – 57 USM |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LT 65 – 62 USM |
Game Analysis
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