Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -14.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -11.6 (-2.4) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -12.9 (-1.1) | 139.9 (-1.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -12.2 (-1.8) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -12.9 (-1.1) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2022 | LT 80 – 57 USM |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LT 65 – 62 USM |
| Jan 29, 2021 | LT 76 – 63 USM |
Game Analysis
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