Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LT -700 USM +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LT -11.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -11.2 (-8.2) | 134.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -9.0 (-6.0) | 134.3 (-7.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -10.4 (-7.4) | 135.4 (-8.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -10.7 (-7.7) | 134.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2022 | LT 76 – 62 USM |
| Jan 14, 2022 | LT 80 – 57 USM |
| Jan 29, 2021 | LT 76 – 63 USM |
Game Analysis
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