Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN +105 BTLR -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +14 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | GTWN -4.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -3.5 (-17.5) | 135.5 (-5.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -1.9 (-15.9) | 137.9 (-7.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -2.3 (-16.3) | 138.0 (-8.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -1.7 (-15.7) | 135.8 (-5.8) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-11 | 9-7 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L21 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#168) | -0.5 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#201) | 1.26 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#194) | 1.72 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#216) | 0.529 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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