Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | HAW +205 UCI -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +16 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -7.2 (+23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -5.7 (+21.7) | 130.3 (-2.3) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.8 (+21.8) | 130.4 (-2.4) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -6.0 (+22.0) | 131.3 (-3.3) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.2 (+21.2) | 130.5 (-2.5) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | HAW 71 – 64 UCI |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCI 87 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 11, 2026 | HAW 67 – 66 UCI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCI 66 – 49 HAW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCI 71 – 55 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 61.4 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#236) | 7.7 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#277) | 1.29 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#267) | 1.44 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#300) | 0.602 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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