I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Lamar Cardinals
56 73
FINAL Conference
Sam Houston Bearkats
Western Athletic Conference · Montagne Center · January 14, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -5.0 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money LAM +180 / SHSU -220
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual SHSU +17 129 Lost
Massey SHSU -2.4 (-14.6)
Massey Totals 138.3 (-9.3)
Bradley-Terry 12%
Weighted B-T 8%
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -4.3 (-12.7) 132.6 (-3.6) 28%
Baseline ML SHSU -4.0 (-13.0) 136.2 (-7.2) 26%
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -4.1 (-12.9) 136.1 (-7.1) 32%
Efficiency Plus ML SHSU -5.7 (-11.3) 129.9 (-0.9) 24%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2024 SHSU 8572 LAM
Dec 3, 2023 SHSU 9070 LAM
Dec 31, 2021 SHSU 7564 LAM
Mar 12, 2021 LAM 7069 SHSU
Feb 23, 2021 SHSU 7771 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM SHSU
Overall 2-27 19-14
Conference 0-18 13-5
Home 2-11 11-2
Away 0-18 5-8
Neutral 0-0 3-4
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L27 L1
Avg Pts For 60.9 65.5
Avg Pts Against 74.1 64.3
Massey -10.0 (#321) -3.8 (#241)
Bradley-Terry -3.83 (#353) -1.10 (#270)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.69 (#353) -1.47 (#272)
RPI 0.334 (#354) 0.436 (#280)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM SHSU
FG% 41.5% 40.5%
3PT% 33.6% 34.3%
REB / G 33.6 36.5
OREB / G 11.4 13.4
AST / TO 0.81 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 48.0%
TOV% 21.5% 20.0%
ORB% 32.1% 34.1%
FT Rate 15.3% 13.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 21.0%
DRB% 67.3% 75.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 28.0%

Game Analysis

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