Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Lamar Cardinals
56 – 73
FINAL Conference
Sam Houston Bearkats
Western Athletic Conference · Montagne Center · January 14, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -5.0 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money LAM +180 / SHSU -220
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual SHSU +17 129 Lost
Massey SHSU -2.4 (-14.6) — —
Massey Totals — 138.3 (-9.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 12% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -5.7 (-11.3) 129.9 (-0.9) 24% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -4.1 (-12.9) 136.1 (-7.1) 32% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -4.0 (-13.0) 136.2 (-7.2) 26% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -4.3 (-12.7) 132.6 (-3.6) 28% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2024 SHSU 85 – 72 LAM
Dec 3, 2023 SHSU 90 – 70 LAM
Dec 31, 2021 SHSU 75 – 64 LAM
Mar 12, 2021 LAM 70 – 69 SHSU
Feb 23, 2021 SHSU 77 – 71 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM SHSU
Overall 2-27 19-14
Conference 0-18 13-5
Home 2-11 11-2
Away 0-18 5-8
Neutral 0-0 3-4
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L27 L1
Avg Pts For 60.9 65.5
Avg Pts Against 74.1 64.3
Massey -10.0 (#321) -3.8 (#241)
Bradley-Terry -3.83 (#353) -1.10 (#270)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.69 (#353) -1.47 (#272)
RPI 0.334 (#354) 0.436 (#280)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM SHSU
FG% 41.5% 40.5%
3PT% 33.6% 34.3%
REB / G 33.6 36.5
OREB / G 11.4 13.4
AST / TO 0.81 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 48.0%
TOV% 21.5% 20.0%
ORB% 32.1% 34.1%
FT Rate 15.3% 13.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 21.0%
DRB% 67.3% 75.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 28.0%

Game Analysis

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