Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Sam Houston Bearkats
69 70
FINAL Neutral Conference Hercules Tires Southland
Lamar Cardinals
Southland Conference · Leonard E. Merrell Center (Neutral) · March 12, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money SHSU -400 / LAM +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual LAM +1 139 Lost
Massey SHSU -9.9 (-10.9)
Massey Totals 140.3 (-1.3)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -7.7 (-8.7) 141.6 (-2.6) 77%
Baseline ML SHSU -10.2 (-11.2) 139.4 (-0.4) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -8.9 (-9.9) 139.4 (-0.4) 84%
Efficiency Plus ML SHSU -8.2 (-9.2) 140.7 (-1.7) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2024 SHSU 8572 LAM
Dec 3, 2023 SHSU 9070 LAM
Jan 14, 2022 SHSU 7356 LAM
Dec 31, 2021 SHSU 7564 LAM
Feb 23, 2021 SHSU 7771 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU LAM
Overall 19-9 10-18
Conference 13-3 6-10
Home 12-1 5-5
Away 7-6 3-11
Neutral 0-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.5 65.8
Avg Pts Against 72.9 72.4
Massey -0.4 (#173) -10.3 (#313)
Bradley-Terry 0.43 (#134) -2.21 (#325)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.21 (#163) -2.89 (#325)
RPI 0.563 (#59) 0.429 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU LAM
FG% 43.1% 41.0%
3PT% 34.4% 29.8%
REB / G 35.4 35.3
OREB / G 10.9 10.0
AST / TO 0.95 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 45.1%
TOV% 20.0% 20.1%
ORB% 28.9% 27.0%
FT Rate 21.9% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 20.1%
DRB% 66.8% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.8% 18.9%

Game Analysis

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