Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -8.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -8.1 (+2.9) | 134.8 (+4.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -5.3 (+5.7) | 138.2 (+0.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -5.1 (+5.9) | 136.5 (+2.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -5.0 (+6.0) | 135.8 (+3.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | SHSU 85 – 72 LAM |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SHSU 90 – 70 LAM |
| Jan 14, 2022 | SHSU 73 – 56 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2021 | LAM 70 – 69 SHSU |
| Feb 23, 2021 | SHSU 77 – 71 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 0-18 |
| Home | 11-2 | 2-11 |
| Away | 5-8 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#266) | -9.1 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#309) | -3.57 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#297) | -4.28 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#303) | 0.345 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 11.2% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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