I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Sam Houston Bearkats
75 64
FINAL Conference
Lamar Cardinals
Western Athletic Conference · Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · December 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +11 139 Won
Massey SHSU -8.2 (+2.8)
Massey Totals 137.5 (+1.5)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 95%
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -5.0 (+6.0) 135.8 (+3.2) 73%
Baseline ML SHSU -5.1 (+5.9) 136.5 (+2.5) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -5.3 (+5.7) 138.2 (+0.8) 71%
Efficiency Plus ML SHSU -8.1 (+2.9) 134.8 (+4.2) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2024 SHSU 8572 LAM
Dec 3, 2023 SHSU 9070 LAM
Jan 14, 2022 SHSU 7356 LAM
Mar 12, 2021 LAM 7069 SHSU
Feb 23, 2021 SHSU 7771 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU LAM
Overall 19-14 2-27
Conference 13-5 0-18
Home 11-2 2-11
Away 5-8 0-18
Neutral 3-4 0-0
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L1 L27
Avg Pts For 65.5 60.9
Avg Pts Against 64.3 74.1
Massey -5.3 (#266) -9.1 (#310)
Bradley-Terry -1.81 (#309) -3.57 (#351)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.14 (#297) -4.28 (#348)
RPI 0.421 (#303) 0.345 (#349)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU LAM
FG% 38.4% 40.5%
3PT% 32.1% 33.8%
REB / G 36.9 33.7
OREB / G 13.7 11.5
AST / TO 0.85 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.3% 46.5%
TOV% 19.4% 20.9%
ORB% 33.2% 31.6%
FT Rate 11.2% 15.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.0% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 21.3% 17.5%
DRB% 74.4% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 32.6% 26.3%

Game Analysis

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