And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · December 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -11.0 Home covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money SHSU -700 / LAM +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +20 160 Won
Massey SHSU -6.0 (+14.0) — —
Massey Totals — 161.2 (-1.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -9.4 (+10.6) 154.4 (+5.6) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -4.5 (+15.5) 153.7 (+6.3) 69% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -4.1 (+15.9) 152.8 (+7.2) 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -4.3 (+15.7) 154.9 (+5.1) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2024 SHSU 85 – 72 LAM
Jan 14, 2022 SHSU 73 – 56 LAM
Dec 31, 2021 SHSU 75 – 64 LAM
Mar 12, 2021 LAM 70 – 69 SHSU
Feb 23, 2021 SHSU 77 – 71 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU LAM
Overall 21-12 19-14
Conference 13-3 12-6
Home 12-2 11-3
Away 7-9 5-11
Neutral 2-1 3-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.3 76.2
Avg Pts Against 69.9 73.4
Massey -2.4 (#224) -2.5 (#225)
Bradley-Terry -0.14 (#199) -0.72 (#245)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.61 (#223) -1.05 (#249)
RPI 0.494 (#184) 0.487 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU LAM
FG% 40.6% 43.3%
3PT% 33.5% 41.9%
REB / G 36.0 37.7
OREB / G 10.9 12.0
AST / TO 1.03 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 50.9%
TOV% 18.1% 18.8%
ORB% 28.0% 31.6%
FT Rate 28.6% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 21.5% 18.8%
DRB% 73.9% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 30.5%

Game Analysis

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