Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · December 3, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -11.0 Home covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money SHSU -700 / LAM +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +20 160 Won
Massey SHSU -6.0 (+14.0)
Massey Totals 161.2 (-1.2)
Bradley-Terry 86%
Weighted B-T 87%
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -4.3 (+15.7) 154.9 (+5.1) 73%
Baseline ML SHSU -4.1 (+15.9) 152.8 (+7.2) 70%
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -4.5 (+15.5) 153.7 (+6.3) 69%
Efficiency Plus ML SHSU -9.4 (+10.6) 154.4 (+5.6) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2024 SHSU 8572 LAM
Jan 14, 2022 SHSU 7356 LAM
Dec 31, 2021 SHSU 7564 LAM
Mar 12, 2021 LAM 7069 SHSU
Feb 23, 2021 SHSU 7771 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU LAM
Overall 21-12 19-14
Conference 13-3 12-6
Home 12-2 11-3
Away 7-9 5-11
Neutral 2-1 3-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.3 76.2
Avg Pts Against 69.9 73.4
Massey -2.4 (#224) -2.5 (#225)
Bradley-Terry -0.14 (#199) -0.72 (#245)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.61 (#223) -1.05 (#249)
RPI 0.494 (#184) 0.487 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU LAM
FG% 40.6% 43.3%
3PT% 33.5% 41.9%
REB / G 36.0 37.7
OREB / G 10.9 12.0
AST / TO 1.03 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 50.9%
TOV% 18.1% 18.8%
ORB% 28.0% 31.6%
FT Rate 28.6% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 21.5% 18.8%
DRB% 73.9% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 30.5%

Game Analysis

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