Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +225 SHSU -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +13 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -6.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -2.9 (-15.9) | 159.8 (-2.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -3.7 (-16.7) | 159.4 (-2.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -1.7 (-14.7) | 153.9 (+3.1) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | SHSU 90 – 70 LAM |
| Jan 14, 2022 | SHSU 73 – 56 LAM |
| Dec 31, 2021 | SHSU 75 – 64 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2021 | LAM 70 – 69 SHSU |
| Feb 23, 2021 | SHSU 77 – 71 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#236) | -2.2 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#215) | 0.65 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#204) | 1.08 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#150) | 0.533 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 43.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 65.5% | 61.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 53.1% | 60.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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