Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +500 SHSU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -10.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -7.6 (+1.6) | 146.4 (+1.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -9.4 (+3.4) | 145.0 (+3.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -9.4 (+3.4) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -9.0 (+3.0) | 147.1 (+0.9) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | SHSU 85 – 72 LAM |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SHSU 90 – 70 LAM |
| Jan 14, 2022 | SHSU 73 – 56 LAM |
| Dec 31, 2021 | SHSU 75 – 64 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2021 | LAM 70 – 69 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Home | 5-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#333) | 0.0 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#333) | 1.08 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#333) | 0.90 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#336) | 0.574 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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