I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · January 14, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -6.0 Away covered
O/U 132.0 Under
Money EIU +220 / SIUE -270
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual SIUE +13 119 Lost
Massey SIUE -10.4 (-2.6) — —
Massey Totals — 123.8 (-4.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 5% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 3% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -10.6 (-2.4) 129.4 (-10.4) 13% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -11.3 (-1.7) 128.2 (-9.2) 16% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -13.2 (+0.2) 131.4 (-12.4) 13% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -13.7 (+0.7) 130.3 (-11.3) 13% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 EIU 77 – 71 SIUE
Feb 28, 2026 SIUE 77 – 50 EIU
Dec 18, 2025 EIU 76 – 72 SIUE
Feb 5, 2025 SIUE 66 – 41 EIU
Jan 8, 2025 SIUE 60 – 57 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU SIUE
Overall 5-26 11-21
Conference 3-15 5-13
Home 4-9 8-5
Away 1-16 3-13
Neutral 0-1 0-3
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 54.3 66.7
Avg Pts Against 71.4 72.4
Massey -18.0 (#356) -3.7 (#240)
Bradley-Terry -4.57 (#357) -0.96 (#259)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.79 (#355) -1.45 (#270)
RPI 0.306 (#358) 0.456 (#249)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU SIUE
FG% 36.7% 42.2%
3PT% 31.5% 27.9%
REB / G 31.8 36.5
OREB / G 7.2 12.3
AST / TO 0.66 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.6% 46.9%
TOV% 25.5% 22.3%
ORB% 20.9% 34.0%
FT Rate 15.3% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 20.6%
DRB% 68.5% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 17.4% 28.6%

Game Analysis

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