Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +12 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -0.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -0.8 (+11.2) | 130.6 (-8.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -0.3 (+11.7) | 133.8 (-11.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -0.0 (+12.0) | 135.4 (-13.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -0.1 (+12.1) | 133.2 (-11.2) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | AKR 75 – 68 KENT |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AKR 92 – 70 KENT |
| Jan 30, 2026 | AKR 69 – 52 KENT |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AKR 77 – 72 KENT |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AKR 85 – 71 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#223) | 0.5 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#218) | 0.39 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#214) | 0.45 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#198) | 0.509 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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