Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -11.0 Push |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -12.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -10.4 (+0.6) | 148.0 (-1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -9.7 (+1.3) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -11.0 (+0.0) | 148.5 (-1.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -11.1 (-0.1) | 149.1 (-2.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#147) | -7.8 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#176) | -0.83 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#171) | -1.17 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#222) | 0.469 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.