Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +22 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -11.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -9.4 (+12.6) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -9.3 (+12.7) | 142.1 (+1.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -9.4 (+12.6) | 141.4 (+2.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -8.6 (+13.4) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#264) | -12.8 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#292) | -2.35 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#285) | -2.96 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#290) | 0.393 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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