Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UPST +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -11.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -9.9 (-12.9) | 145.5 (+3.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -10.7 (-13.7) | 145.0 (+4.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -11.1 (-14.1) | 144.9 (+4.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -11.2 (-14.2) | 144.7 (+4.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | UNCA 76 – 67 UPST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UNCA 83 – 69 UPST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UNCA 92 – 85 UPST |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNCA 93 – 92 UPST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UNCA 77 – 64 UPST |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.