Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +27 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -3.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -2.8 (+24.2) | 154.9 (+10.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -2.5 (+24.5) | 154.4 (+10.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -3.2 (+23.8) | 154.2 (+10.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -3.6 (+23.4) | 154.6 (+10.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#182) | -0.1 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#208) | 0.05 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#180) | -0.10 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#156) | 0.479 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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