Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -13.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -9.6 (-6.6) | 143.5 (+9.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -10.8 (-7.8) | 145.0 (+8.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -11.0 (-8.0) | 145.5 (+7.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -9.2 (-6.2) | 142.6 (+10.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 69 HCU |
| Dec 16, 2025 | MCN 78 – 68 HCU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | MCN 75 – 59 HCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | MCN 87 – 69 HCU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MCN 105 – 54 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Home | 6-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#291) | -16.7 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#297) | -4.16 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#292) | -5.70 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#264) | 0.359 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 25.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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