Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +11 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -5.3 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -5.2 (+16.2) | 125.7 (-12.7) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -5.7 (+16.7) | 128.1 (-15.1) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -4.7 (+15.7) | 125.2 (-12.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -2.7 (+13.7) | 127.2 (-14.2) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TTU 100 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | TTU 61 – 57 KSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TTU 60 – 59 KSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | TTU 71 – 63 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KSU 68 – 58 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 18-0 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#81) | 15.7 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#141) | 3.49 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#106) | 4.61 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#188) | 0.583 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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